Author: Olalekan Adigun

My Predictions about 2015 Nigerian Elections

I predicted sometimes last year before the scuttled Adamawa by election that Nuhu Ribadu, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Governorship candidate in Adamawa State, will appreciate a second position if he contested the Gubernatorial election. Trust my ever loyal PDP friends they gave me several knocks. Now I walk taller, Ribadu actually came third in the just concluded election. I didn’t just spend one year in the Land of Beauty for nothing! Again my PDP friends got their steam after I erroneously give victory to Kayode Fayemi in Ekiti. I had to keep quiet and watch because I know very little about Ekiti(visiting only on three occasions). My data disappointed me thoroughly. I didn’t factor in “rigging”. I learn my lessons the hard way. When it was time for Osun Gubernatorial election in August last year, my PDP friends told me to keep quiet which I characteristically did. I told those who cared to listen that Rauf Aregbesola the All Progressives Congress(APC) candidate and incumbent governor of the state, will win the election. I predicted Iyiola Omisore the PDP candidate to win in Ife areas. Lo! I turned out to be the case. The rest, as the British say, is history. It was the turn of the presidential election. I wrote severally on my blog http://olalekanadigun.com/ why GMB’s handlers have done a better job than the PDP. I also...

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THE LORD OF LIES

Early 2012, President Jonathan came out publicly to say (except he said this under duress) that the dreaded Islamic sect, Boko Haram served in his cabinet. After making this careless statement many thought it was one of those” unpresidential” remarks which the President is known to make. But to those who know, this statement was a major clue to deciphering the real sponsors of insecurity in Nigeria. In Nigeria, a Governor at any time (t) has not less than N500 million for “security vote” let alone the President. This was the major premise of my argument that the major beneficiary of insecurity particularly with the Boko Haram will ultimately be Mr. President. So was my thought at that time. Shallow minded elements amongst us did their usual best to divert attentions from the real issues. The smart ones amongst us were far too intelligent for them to fall cheaply for primordial lies. Herein come lays Lord of Lies! My intuition was confirmed later in 2012 when General Adrew Azazi (rtd) the then National Security Adviser(NSA) told us what the Lord of Lies does not want to hear: Peoples Democratic Party(PDP) was behind the veil of Boko Haram! After the General made this statement, we knew it was only living on borrowed time on his job. As predicted he got sacked as NSA and later died under controversial circumstances in...

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Africa: The New Challenge of Terrorism

The recent terrorist attacks on Garissa University, Kenya on 2 April, 2015 which resulted in the dead of 148 students by a group, al-Shabab, calls for worry on the part of African leaders, under the African Union system. The African leaders must device a new way of looking at the monster of terrorism in the 21st century. With pomp and a collective sense of fulfillment, African nationalists gathered in the historic city of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia on 25 May, 1963 to witness the birth of the African regional bloc, the Organization of African Unity (OAU). Amidst the euphoria, the immediate mandate of the new Organization was clear- decolonization. It was with this mandate that the OAU, now African Union (AU) looked at the issues on the continent. In other to achieve its immediate objective, any means to see this done will do just well as far as the OAU was concerned. One important organ of the OAU at this period was the Liberation Committee whose headquarters was in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. This explains why several guerrilla movements like the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), Mau Mau Movement (Kenya), South West African Peoples Organization (SWAPO) in Namibia, Front for the Liberation of Mozambique (FRELIMO) and the likes all trained under the guidance of the Liberation Committee. It is no longer a secret that most, if not...

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Igbos and the Buhari’s Presidency: The Options

It is no longer news that the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, General Muhammadu Buhari(rtd) won the March 28 election, defeating the incumbent, Goodluck Jonathan. It is also an open secret that Igbos of the South Eastern Nigeria, voted massively for incumbent President Jonathan. My thrust therefore in this piece is to look at the possible causes of the stance of Ndigbo, even in the face of critical reality why Igbos voted against the APC. Also I will try to analyse the options left for Ndigbo to explore in the Buhari presidency. The Igbos have not hidden their...

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PDP’s Fatal Underestimation of APC’s Strategy in the 2015 Elections

The result of the Nigerian 2015 presidential election shows how elections are won and lost on the altar of strategies. The opposition All Progressives Congress (APC) did the impossible by unseating the ruling Peoples Democratic Party in the March 28 Presidential elections effectively ending its 16-year dominance in the Nigeria political space. President Goodluck Jonathan and his party, the PDP, as far as some of us are concerned lost the election due to his own undoing-underestimating the APC’s strategies. The APC simply discovered a new way of defeating its arch rival with the PDP seriously suffering from constipation. The...

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Olalekan Adigun

About Me

Olalekan Waheed ADIGUN is an independent political risk analyst and strategist. He received his BSc(Politics, Philosophy & Economics) from Ife University before getting engaged with a research, contents development and digital solutions’ firm based in Lagos, Nigeria. He is presently an MSc (Political Science) candidate at the University of Lagos.

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