Author: Olalekan Adigun

The Declining influence of Incumbency in African Politics

Before the just-concluded 2015 presidential election in Nigeria, most President Jonathan’s supporters premised their support on one singular factor-Incumbency. I had the opportunity to ask some of them if they knew that the Titanic was once believed to be unsinkable. I still asked them if they knew that no one ever imagine it could before the inevitable happened. In the deeply moving movie Titanic which I recently watched (I have seen the movie once, but in a long time) shows how fatal some dangerous, arrogant presumptions can be. Like the Titanic, many folks, particularly, President Jonathan’s supporters maintained that he cannot be defeated. Their stance is premised majorly on the fact, not because he has performed excellently, but that he belongs to a party which is “too big to sink.” They perhaps forgot how deep the ocean is. One good thing about presumptions (like this one) is that it blinds just as it binds. There were times in Africa when it was unthinkable to see incumbents loose elections hence this anachronistic assumption. Perhaps these unscientific thoughts came into our consciousness because of some events in African history: Leabua Jonathan, Prime Minister of Lesotho voided the 1970 election he and his Party lost; Dr. Hastings Kamusu Banda declared himself President for Life in Malawi; Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe who in his 80s is still waxing strong in power and others....

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History and the 2015 Nigerian Presidential Elections

In his article NIGERIAN NATION AGAINST BUHARI Professor Wole Soyinka wrote “History matters. Records are not kept simply to assist weakness of memory, but to guide the future.” There appear to be major similarities between the build up to the March 28, 2015 elections and the June 12, 1993 elections. I say this because the signs as we approach the elections are ominous if you ask me. At least going by some landmark event in our history, one has a reason to worry. On the 16th of June, 1993 a group known as the Association for Better Nigeria (ABN)...

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APC: The Question Of Strategies

Since its formation in 2013, the All Progressives’ Congress(APC) has proven many if not all its cynics wrong by forming the first ever successful merger of major opposition parties in the annals of the Nigerian political history.Some of its cynics were so confident of its collapse that one of them even asked to be called a bastard if the party does not collapse before the end of 2014! I happen to be one of those who seriously doubted the possibility of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), All Nigeria People’s Party (ANPP), Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) merger in...

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ISIS: The Challenges of Global Terrorism in Post-Cold War

In an amazing display of bravery, an unnamed Tunisian street hawker set himself ablaze (some say it was out of frustration) in a sunny afternoon. This singular heroic act was soon led to series of riots which ultimately brought down the Ahmed Ben Alli’s regime and things will never be the same again. As the world watched the “Arab Spring” extends to Yemen, Egypt, Syria, Libya and many other Arabian territories arms freely flew into the hands of “freedom fighters” and pro-US regimes’ foot soldiers which will later become deciding issues in world peace and security. Ever since the world left us to find solutions to our problems they left us alone and went silent! Keen observers of international affairs will probably know that not much has changed in the United States’ foreign policy thinking since the end of the Cold War era in 1990. The role of Washington in the so called Arab Spring shows that the White House still views international relations strictly from Cold War lenses. The role of the “World Powers” in Syria specifically calls to question the supposed end of the Cold War. Ever since communist China and former “Soviet” Russia supported the Asa’ad’s Damascus Government, Washington found a way to oppose the same regime hence supporting the “freedom fighters”. Not minding the fact that US supported the Hosni Mubarrack’s over three decades old...

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Olalekan Adigun

About Me

Olalekan Waheed ADIGUN is an independent political risk analyst and strategist. He received his BSc(Politics, Philosophy & Economics) from Ife University before getting engaged with a research, contents development and digital solutions’ firm based in Lagos, Nigeria. He is presently an MSc (Political Science) candidate at the University of Lagos.

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